Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeAspmyra StadionFull-time recap

Bodo/Glimt

DWWWL

5–0Full-time recap

Tromso

WWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Tromso
Shots	18 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.71 xG/match▲	0.64 xG/match
Possession	69%	31%
Corners	2 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tromso's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Bodo/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Tromso have a visible away split

weak

Tromso's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.25 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bodo/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bodo/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	2.38 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bodo/Glimt have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.1%▲PossessionBodo/Glimt · Tromso47.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Tromso	Baseline
Possession	66.1%	47.6%	47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodo/Glimt favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Tromso in 1 · 4 too close

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/111.55 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/111.18 goals/match

2.29 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/111.74 xG/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/111.2 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/1113.2 shots/match

9.25 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/1110.1 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/115.09 shots/match

4.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/11▲3.45 shots/match

66.1%Possessionseason · 8/1147.6%

7.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/115.82 corners/match

2.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/113.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

8.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/1112 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

63%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/1155%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Tromso40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodo/Glimt94.8

Tromso67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodo/Glimt84.4

Tromso80.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodo/Glimt59.4

Tromso71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt3.1

Tromso71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Tromso59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodo/Glimt73.5

Tromso68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

2.65 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.14 xG/match

20.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

8.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

62.6%Possession5/543.4%

8.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 10 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/101.3 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/101.3 goals/match

2.29 xG/match▲Expected goals8/101.59 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shots8/1012.9 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/104.7 shots/match

66.1%Possession8/1048.1%

7.5 corners/matchCorners8/105.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.63 fouls/matchFouls8/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 11 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/111.55 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/111.18 goals/match

2.29 xG/match▲Expected goals8/111.74 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shots8/1113.2 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/115.09 shots/match

66.1%Possession8/1147.6%

7.5 corners/matchCorners8/115.82 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.63 fouls/matchFouls8/1112 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

3.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

0.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

3.08 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.05 xG/match

23.5 shots/match▲Shots4/48.25 shots/match

9.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match

65.8%Possession4/441.5%

9.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4