PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Fredrikstad Stadion

Fredrikstad FK 2–1 HamKam · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

HamKam

LWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fredrikstad FK won 2–1.

Shots
99
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.980.73
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fredrikstad beat Ham-Kam 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fredrikstad – Ham-Kam): shots 9–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.98–0.73, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fredrikstad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad have a visible home split

weak

Fredrikstad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsFredrikstad FK 9 shots, HamKam 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsFredrikstad FK 4 shots, HamKam 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG0.73 xGFredrikstad FK 0.98 xG, HamKam 0.73 xG
  • Possession43%57%Fredrikstad FK 43%, HamKam 57%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersFredrikstad FK 5 corners, HamKam 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsFredrikstad FK 11 fouls, HamKam 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsFredrikstad FK 2 cards, HamKam 0 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fredrikstad FK
2Draws
0HamKam
Fredrikstad FK — HamKam · Eliteserien1–1
HamKam — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien1–1
Fredrikstad FK — HamKam · Eliteserien1–0
HamKam — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fredrikstad FK favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · HamKam in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fredrikstad FK9 matchesHamKam8 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/8▲ 1.63 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲ 1.22 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/810.1 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/83.75 shots/match
46% ●Possession9/845.6%
4.44 corners/match ●Corners9/84.38 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls9/812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFredrikstad FKHamKam
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headFredrikstad FK — HamKam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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