Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeFredrikstad StadionFull-time recap

Fredrikstad

DLLLL

2–1Full-time recap

Ham-Kam

LWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fredrikstad	Ham-Kam
Shots	9 shots/match	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.98 xG/match▲	0.73 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	5 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Fredrikstad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad have a visible home split

weak

Fredrikstad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fredrikstad favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Ham-Kam in 8 · 5 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/8▲1.63 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/8▲1.75 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/8▲1.22 xG/match

1.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/8▲1.47 xG/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/810.1 shots/match

14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/814.1 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/83.75 shots/match

5.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/8▲4.5 shots/match

46%Possessionseason · 9/845.6%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/84.38 corners/match

5.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/8▲4.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/2—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/812.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/8▲25%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/8▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fredrikstad28.1

Ham-Kam21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fredrikstad26

Ham-Kam30.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fredrikstad12.5

Ham-Kam32.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fredrikstad34.4

Ham-Kam15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad40.6

Ham-Kam78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad40.6

Ham-Kam34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fredrikstad26.6

Ham-Kam34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.19 xG/match

10.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

44%Possession5/548%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 8 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/8▲1.63 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/8▲1.75 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲1.22 xG/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots9/810.1 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/83.75 shots/match

46%Possession9/845.6%

4.44 corners/matchCorners9/84.38 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls9/812.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 8 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/8▲1.63 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/8▲1.75 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲1.22 xG/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots9/810.1 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/83.75 shots/match

46%Possession9/845.6%

4.44 corners/matchCorners9/84.38 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls9/812.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/32.33 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.81 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots4/38 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/32.67 shots/match

42.8%Possession4/346.3%

5 corners/matchCorners4/35.33 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/312.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.88 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4