Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 9 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeSarpsborg StadionFull-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

LDLLL

2–1Full-time recap

Fredrikstad

WDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Fredrikstad
Shots	9 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	2 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match▲	0.74 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	11 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Fredrikstad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fredrikstad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.25 goals/match	1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad have a visible away split

moderate

Fredrikstad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.8 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fredrikstad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fredrikstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsSarpsborg 08 FF · Fredrikstad10.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	11.5 shots/match	14.9 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sarpsborg 08 FF favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Fredrikstad in 2 · 5 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.25 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/82.13 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/81.18 xG/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/81.91 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/810.9 shots/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/814.9 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/83.63 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/85.75 shots/match

48.3%Possessionseason · 8/846.4%

5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84.38 corners/match

4.25 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/80%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9

Fredrikstad28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sarpsborg 08 FF20.8

Fredrikstad25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sarpsborg 08 FF74

Fredrikstad9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sarpsborg 08 FF15.6

Fredrikstad28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

Fredrikstad46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF59.4

Fredrikstad34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sarpsborg 08 FF29.7

Fredrikstad27.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.4 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match

2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/545.6%

6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.25 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.18 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots8/810.9 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/83.63 shots/match

48.3%Possession8/846.4%

5.88 corners/matchCorners8/84.38 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.25 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.18 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots8/810.9 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/83.63 shots/match

48.3%Possession8/846.4%

5.88 corners/matchCorners8/84.38 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52.6 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.13 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots4/58.8 shots/match

3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/53.2 shots/match

49%Possession4/548.6%

8 corners/matchCorners4/54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls4/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.83 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4