Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 2 May 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeBrann StadionFull-time recap

Brann

WLLDW

3–1Full-time recap

Fredrikstad

WWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brann	Fredrikstad
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.49 xG/match▲	0.94 xG/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	3 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Brann. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Brann.

2.96 days▲Rest daysBrann · Fredrikstad7.08 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Brann	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Rest days	2.96 days	7.08 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fredrikstad have a visible away split

weak

Fredrikstad's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.5 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.6%▲PossessionBrann · Fredrikstad47.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brann	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Possession	56.6%	47.3%	48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brann favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Fredrikstad in 1 · 3 too close

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/71.29 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/72.14 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/71.24 xG/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/72 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/711.6 shots/match

14 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/715.7 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/73.86 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/76.43 shots/match

56.6%Possessionseason · 8/747.3%

7.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/74.57 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/7▲4.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/710.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/70%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brann84.4

Fredrikstad40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brann80.2

Fredrikstad29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brann60.4

Fredrikstad12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brann53.1

Fredrikstad28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brann59.4

Fredrikstad21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brann84.4

Fredrikstad28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brann73.5

Fredrikstad21.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.05 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.38 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

54.8%Possession5/547.8%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 7 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/71.29 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/72.14 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals8/71.24 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots8/711.6 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/73.86 shots/match

56.6%Possession8/747.3%

7.13 corners/matchCorners8/74.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/710.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 7 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/71.29 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/72.14 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals8/71.24 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots8/711.6 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/73.86 shots/match

56.6%Possession8/747.3%

7.13 corners/matchCorners8/74.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/710.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.75 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.23 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots3/49.5 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/43.5 shots/match

61.7%Possession3/450.8%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.08 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4