Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeÅråsenFull-time recap

Lillestrom

WWDWL

4–0Full-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

DLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots	11 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.37 xG/match▲	0.81 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lillestrom's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.71 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lillestrom have a visible home split

weak

Lillestrom's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sarpsborg 08 FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sarpsborg 08 FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsLillestrom · Sarpsborg 08 FF11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lillestrom	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Baseline
Shots	13.1 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 1 · 4 too close

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.71 goals/match

0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.43 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.45 xG/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.49 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/711.3 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/712.3 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/74 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.43 shots/match

51.1%Possessionseason · 7/746.6%

4.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.14 corners/match

5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4.43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

9.43 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.43 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%

71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/757%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom65.6

Sarpsborg 08 FF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom58.3

Sarpsborg 08 FF20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom80.2

Sarpsborg 08 FF64.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom59.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom12.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom40.6

Sarpsborg 08 FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom39

Sarpsborg 08 FF28.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.3 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/546.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.45 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots7/711.3 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match

51.1%Possession7/746.6%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/75.14 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.43 fouls/matchFouls7/79.43 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.45 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots7/711.3 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match

51.1%Possession7/746.6%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/75.14 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.43 fouls/matchFouls7/79.43 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.75 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.3 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots3/49.5 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/43.5 shots/match

53%Possession3/447.5%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/49.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4