Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeÅråsenFull-time recap

Lillestrom

WWWDW

0–2Full-time recap

Bodo/Glimt

WLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	Bodo/Glimt
Shots	10 shots/match	10 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.08 xG/match▲	0.92 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	5 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Bodo/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Lillestrom's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible away split

weak

Bodo/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bodo/Glimt have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.5%▲PossessionLillestrom · Bodo/Glimt65.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lillestrom	Bodo/Glimt	Baseline
Possession	51.5%	65.8%	48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Bodo/Glimt in 7 · 5 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/51.2 goals/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/5▲1.92 xG/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/51.23 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/513.6 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/5▲10.8 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/5▲5.2 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/54.6 shots/match

51.5%Possessionseason · 6/565.8%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/56.8 corners/match

6.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/5▲2.6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/58.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/5▲60%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/5▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom65.6

Bodo/Glimt96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom58.3

Bodo/Glimt69.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom62.5

Bodo/Glimt70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom59.4

Bodo/Glimt3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom15.6

Bodo/Glimt3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom40.6

Bodo/Glimt71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom43

Bodo/Glimt54.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.92 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/565.8%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 5 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/51.2 goals/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.92 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots6/513.6 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲5.2 shots/match

51.5%Possession6/565.8%

5 corners/matchCorners6/56.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls6/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 5 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/51.2 goals/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.92 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots6/513.6 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲5.2 shots/match

51.5%Possession6/565.8%

5 corners/matchCorners6/56.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls6/58.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 4 matches

—Goals scored2/41.5 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.49 xG/match

—Shots2/411.5 shots/match

—Shots on target2/44.25 shots/match

—Possession2/466.5%

—Corners2/45.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/48.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.22 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4