Eliteserien · 2026Åråsen

Lillestrøm SK 0–2 Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bodø/Glimt won 0–2.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
1.080.92
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bodo/Glimt beat Lillestrom 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lillestrom – Bodo/Glimt): shots 10–10, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 1.08–0.92, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrom's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible away split

weak

Bodo/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bodo/Glimt have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.5%PossessionLillestrom · Bodo/Glimt● 65.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLillestromBodo/GlimtBaseline
Possession51.5%65.8%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsLillestrøm SK 10 shots, Bodø/Glimt 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsLillestrøm SK 1 shot, Bodø/Glimt 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG0.92 xGLillestrøm SK 1.08 xG, Bodø/Glimt 0.92 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lillestrøm SK 50%, Bodø/Glimt 50%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersLillestrøm SK 5 corners, Bodø/Glimt 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsLillestrøm SK 8 fouls, Bodø/Glimt 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lillestrøm SK
0Draws
5Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien5–2
Lillestrøm SK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien0–5
Bodø/Glimt — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien3–1
Lillestrøm SK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien1–2
Lillestrøm SK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bodø/Glimt in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK6 matchesBodø/Glimt5 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/51.2 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 1.92 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots6/513.6 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲ 5.2 shots/match
51.5%Possession6/5● 65.8%
5 corners/matchCorners6/5● 6.8 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls6/58.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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