Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 24 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeAspmyra StadionFull-time recap

Bodo/Glimt

WWLWW

3–1Full-time recap

Brann

DWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Brann
Shots	14 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	2.77 xG/match▲	0.1 xG/match
Possession	62%	38%
Corners	5 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodo/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Bodo/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bodo/Glimt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.6 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.4 goals/match	2.6 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season17 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	21.6 shots/match	17 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/match▲CornersBodo/Glimt · Brann6.55 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Brann	Baseline
Corners	7 corners/match	6.55 corners/match	5.16 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodo/Glimt favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Brann in 1 · 3 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/112.09 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/111.64 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/111.78 xG/match

1.04 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/111.64 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1113.2 shots/match

8.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1114.1 shots/match

7.1 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/114.91 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/114.55 shots/match

66.8%Possessionseason · 10/1156.7%

7 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/116.55 corners/match

2.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/114.91 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

8.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1111.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/119%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/11▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Brann84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodo/Glimt94.8

Brann72.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodo/Glimt91.7

Brann40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodo/Glimt53.1

Brann34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt3.1

Brann46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt90.6

Brann78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodo/Glimt71.9

Brann64.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.4 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

2.63 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.63 xG/match

20.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

9 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

67.8%Possession5/555.8%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/102.1 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.76 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shots10/1013 shots/match

7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.8 shots/match

66.8%Possession10/1056.1%

7 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 11 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/112.09 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/111.64 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goals10/111.78 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shots10/1113.2 shots/match

7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/114.91 shots/match

66.8%Possession10/1156.7%

7 corners/matchCorners10/116.55 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1111.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 7 matches

3.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/72.43 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/71.86 goals/match

3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals5/71.66 xG/match

21.6 shots/match▲Shots5/711.9 shots/match

9.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/75 shots/match

65%Possession5/752%

8.4 corners/matchCorners5/76.57 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/713 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.83 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4