Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeSparebanken Sør ArenaFull-time recap

Start

LLDLL

2–0Full-time recap

Valerenga

LLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Start	Valerenga
Shots	15 shots/match	15 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.97 xG/match	1.12 xG/match▲
Possession	31%	69%
Corners	5 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Start's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Start's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.09 goals/match	1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Start have a visible home split

moderate

Start's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valerenga show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valerenga's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsStart · Valerenga14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Valerenga	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	14.2 shots/match	15 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Start favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Valerenga in 7 · 3 too close

1.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/101 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/10▲1.25 xG/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/101.67 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/10▲14.8 shots/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1015 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/10▲4.6 shots/match

5.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/10▲4.7 shots/match

40.4%Possessionseason · 11/1049.9%

3.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/107.3 corners/match

5.91 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/10▲5.2 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1011.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/10▲20%

82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Start3.1

Valerenga53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Start19.8

Valerenga56.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Start17.7

Valerenga28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Start65.6

Valerenga90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Start84.4

Valerenga46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Start3.1

Valerenga96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Start29.7

Valerenga73.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

3.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.45 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲15 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

35.2%Possession5/555.6%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.25 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.8 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.6 shots/match

40.4%Possession10/1049.9%

3.5 corners/matchCorners10/107.3 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 10 matches

1.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/101 goals/match

2.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲1.25 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots11/10▲14.8 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲4.6 shots/match

40.4%Possession11/1049.9%

3.36 corners/matchCorners11/107.3 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1011.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.3 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

41.6%Possession5/552.6%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.77 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4