Eliteserien · 2026Sparebanken Sør Arena

IK Start 2–0 Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

IK Start won 2–0.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.971.12
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Start beat Valerenga 2–0. Recorded in this match (Start – Valerenga): shots 15–15, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.97–1.12, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Start's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Start have a visible home split

moderate

Start's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valerenga show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valerenga's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsStart · Valerenga14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStartValerengaBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match15 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsIK Start 15 shots, Vålerenga IF 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotIK Start 2 shots, Vålerenga IF 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.12 xGIK Start 0.97 xG, Vålerenga IF 1.12 xG
  • Possession31%69%IK Start 31%, Vålerenga IF 69%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersIK Start 5 corners, Vålerenga IF 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsIK Start 6 fouls, Vålerenga IF 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsIK Start 1 card, Vålerenga IF 0 cards

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Start favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Start11 matchesVålerenga IF10 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/101 goal/match
2.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 1.25 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots11/10▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲ 4.6 shots/match
40.4%Possession11/10● 49.9%
3.36 corners/matchCorners11/10● 7.3 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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