Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeIntility ArenaFull-time recap

Valerenga

LDLWL

3–1Full-time recap

Kristiansund BK

DLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valerenga	Kristiansund BK
Shots	19 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.71 xG/match▲	1.12 xG/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	5 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Kristiansund BK. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Valerenga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Kristiansund BK.

4.19 days▲Rest daysValerenga · Kristiansund BK5.04 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Valerenga	Kristiansund BK	Baseline
Rest days	4.19 days	5.04 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Valerenga have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.2%▲PossessionValerenga · Kristiansund BK42.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Valerenga	Kristiansund BK	Baseline
Possession	50.2%	42.2%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valerenga favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 1 · 5 too close

1.18 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111 goals/match

1.55 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.64 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.12 xG/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/111.56 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1111.9 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲13.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.91 shots/match

4.73 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115.27 shots/match

50.2%Possessionseason · 11/1142.2%

7.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.09 corners/match

5.27 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/116.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1110.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valerenga53.1

Kristiansund BK9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valerenga68.7

Kristiansund BK26

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valerenga33.3

Kristiansund BK33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valerenga90.6

Kristiansund BK78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valerenga46.9

Kristiansund BK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valerenga96.9

Kristiansund BK15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valerenga78.1

Kristiansund BK26.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.92 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots5/512.4 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

57.8%Possession5/542.8%

7 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.99 xG/match

15.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

51%Possession10/1042.7%

7.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches

1.18 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111 goals/match

1.55 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.12 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.9 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match

50.2%Possession11/1142.2%

7.09 corners/matchCorners11/114.09 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.96 xG/match

16.2 shots/match▲Shots6/610.8 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match

48.2%Possession6/640.5%

8.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4