Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeBrann StadionFull-time recap

Brann

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1–2Full-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brann	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots	10 shots/match	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.77 xG/match	1.06 xG/match▲
Possession	69%	31%
Corners	8 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Brann. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Brann.

5.12 days▲Rest daysBrann · Sarpsborg 08 FF4.08 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Brann	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Baseline
Rest days	5.12 days	4.08 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8%▲PossessionBrann · Sarpsborg 08 FF44.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brann	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Baseline
Possession	57.8%	44.2%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brann favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 4 · 5 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/111.18 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/111.38 xG/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/11▲1.39 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1110.9 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/11▲11.8 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/114.09 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/114.45 shots/match

57.8%Possessionseason · 12/1144.2%

6.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/114.91 corners/match

4.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/115.09 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1110.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/11▲9%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brann84.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brann71.9

Sarpsborg 08 FF26

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brann37.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brann15.6

Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brann34.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brann84.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brann62.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF25.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.16 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

60.2%Possession5/542.2%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.33 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.2 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

56.9%Possession10/1045%

6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 11 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111.18 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals12/111.38 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1110.9 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/114.09 shots/match

57.8%Possession12/1144.2%

6.67 corners/matchCorners12/114.91 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1110.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/61.17 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/61.83 goals/match

1.74 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.31 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/610.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/64.67 shots/match

65.8%Possession5/644.5%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/63.33 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/69 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.08 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4