Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeColor Line StadionFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

Ham-Kam

WDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAalesundHam-Kam
Shots17 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.4 xG/match2.12 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Aalesund. A second useful context is: Aalesund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Aalesund.

4.08 daysRest daysAalesund · Ham-Kam4.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAalesundHam-KamBaseline
Rest days4.08 days4.08 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Aalesund have a visible home split

moderate

Aalesund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ham-Kam's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ham-Kam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Aalesund favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Ham-Kam in 7 · 5 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/101.7 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/101.6 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/101.29 xG/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/101.54 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1010.5 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1014.6 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/104.4 shots/match
5.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/104.7 shots/match
42.8%Possessionseason · 11/1046.2%
4.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/104.3 corners/match
7.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/105.5 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/2
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1012.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1030%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/10100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aalesund15.6
Ham-Kam28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aalesund64.6
Ham-Kam42.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aalesund6.2
Ham-Kam30.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aalesund96.9
Ham-Kam21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aalesund90.6
Ham-Kam71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aalesund34.4
Ham-Kam28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aalesund67.2
Ham-Kam37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.06 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots5/59.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
39%Possession5/546.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.29 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
43.1%Possession10/1046.2%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
Cards0/2
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 10 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored11/101.7 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed11/101.6 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals11/101.29 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots11/1010.5 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/104.4 shots/match
42.8%Possession11/1046.2%
4.55 corners/matchCorners11/104.3 corners/match
Cards0/2
12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 4 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/41.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/42.25 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals6/41.14 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots6/49.75 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target6/43.5 shots/match
47%Possession6/449%
6 corners/matchCorners6/45 corners/match
Cards0/1
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/412 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.08 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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