Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeRomssa ArenaFull-time recap

Tromso

WLDWL

1–1Full-time recap

Aalesund

LDLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tromso	Aalesund
Shots	14 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.42 xG/match▲	0.87 xG/match
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	6 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tromso's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Tromso's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tromso's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aalesund have a visible away split

moderate

Aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tromso favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Aalesund in 2 · 3 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/101.3 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/101.8 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/101.14 xG/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/101.91 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/10▲14.2 shots/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1015.3 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/104.5 shots/match

3.42 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/105.8 shots/match

48.9%Possessionseason · 12/1042.8%

5.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/104.2 corners/match

4.08 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/107.6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1013 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/100%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/10▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tromso46.9

Aalesund15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tromso69.8

Aalesund60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tromso82.3

Aalesund7.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tromso59.4

Aalesund96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tromso59.4

Aalesund90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tromso59.4

Aalesund21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tromso67.2

Aalesund60.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.31 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/541.4%

4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.14 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.2 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match

50.5%Possession10/1042.8%

5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored12/101.3 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/101.8 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals12/101.14 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots12/10▲14.2 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target12/104.5 shots/match

48.9%Possession12/1042.8%

5.83 corners/matchCorners12/104.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1013 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 5 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/51 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/51.6 goals/match

2.05 xG/match▲Expected goals8/50.88 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots8/511.2 shots/match

5.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/53.2 shots/match

52.6%Possession8/537.8%

6.88 corners/matchCorners8/52.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/511.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Tromso's recent record differs from the season

Aalesund have a visible away split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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