PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Aker Stadion

Molde FK 2–1 Sandefjord Fotball · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Molde FK won 2–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.120.81
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Molde beat Sandefjord 2–1. Recorded in this match (Molde – Sandefjord): shots 9–16, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.12–0.81, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Molde's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.64 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsMolde FK 9 shots, Sandefjord Fotball 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsMolde FK 3 shots, Sandefjord Fotball 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.81 xGMolde FK 1.12 xG, Sandefjord Fotball 0.81 xG
  • Possession51%49%Molde FK 51%, Sandefjord Fotball 49%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersMolde FK 5 corners, Sandefjord Fotball 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsMolde FK 9 fouls, Sandefjord Fotball 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsMolde FK 1 card, Sandefjord Fotball 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Molde FK
1Draws
4Sandefjord Fotball
Molde FK — Sandefjord Fotball · Eliteserien1–3
Sandefjord Fotball — Molde FK · Eliteserien3–0
Molde FK — Sandefjord Fotball · Eliteserien0–1
Sandefjord Fotball — Molde FK · Eliteserien3–1
Sandefjord Fotball — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Molde FK favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sandefjord Fotball in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Molde FK11 matchesSandefjord Fotball11 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.21 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.45 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession11/1151.7%
4.64 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.27 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls11/1113 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMolde FKSandefjord Fotball
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headMolde FK — Sandefjord Fotball
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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