Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeJotun ArenaFull-time recap

Sandefjord

DLWWL

1–1Full-time recap

Fredrikstad

LLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sandefjord	Fredrikstad
Shots	9 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.97 xG/match	1.75 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	6 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.9 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sandefjord favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Fredrikstad in 3 · 5 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.9 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.21 xG/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/101.7 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1011.4 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1013.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.9 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/105.3 shots/match

52%Possessionseason · 10/1047.2%

5.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.5 corners/match

7.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲5.3 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1011.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/100%

70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sandefjord71.9

Fredrikstad40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sandefjord46.9

Fredrikstad32.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sandefjord67.7

Fredrikstad20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sandefjord65.6

Fredrikstad34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord96.9

Fredrikstad43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord65.6

Fredrikstad34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sandefjord73.4

Fredrikstad31.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.05 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

52.8%Possession5/544.4%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.21 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

52%Possession10/1047.2%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.21 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

52%Possession10/1047.2%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲1 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/62.33 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.23 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots5/610.3 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/63.67 shots/match

55%Possession5/650.2%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/612.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.14 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4