PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Jotun Arena

Sandefjord Fotball 1–1 Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sandefjord Fotball and Fredrikstad FK drew 1–1.

Shots
918
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.971.75
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sandefjord and Fredrikstad drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sandefjord – Fredrikstad): shots 9–18, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.97–1.75, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsSandefjord Fotball 9 shots, Fredrikstad FK 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsSandefjord Fotball 3 shots, Fredrikstad FK 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.75 xGSandefjord Fotball 0.97 xG, Fredrikstad FK 1.75 xG
  • Possession42%58%Sandefjord Fotball 42%, Fredrikstad FK 58%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersSandefjord Fotball 6 corners, Fredrikstad FK 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsSandefjord Fotball 12 fouls, Fredrikstad FK 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSandefjord Fotball 2 cards, Fredrikstad FK 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sandefjord Fotball
1Draws
3Fredrikstad FK
Sandefjord Fotball — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–0
Fredrikstad FK — Sandefjord Fotball · Eliteserien3–1
Sandefjord Fotball — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–1
Fredrikstad FK — Sandefjord Fotball · Eliteserien1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sandefjord Fotball favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fredrikstad FK in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sandefjord Fotball10 matchesFredrikstad FK10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.21 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
52% ●Possession10/1047.2%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners10/104.5 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSandefjord FotballFredrikstad FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSandefjord Fotball — Fredrikstad FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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