Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Malmö FF

WWWDL

vsPre-match analysis

Djurgårdens IF

LWWDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Malmö FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Malmö FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmö FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Malmö FF

0Draws

0Djurgårdens IF

17 Apr 2026Djurgardens IF — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Malmö FF favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Djurgårdens IF in 8 · 4 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/132 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/13▲1.23 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/62.15 xG/match

1.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/6▲0.95 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲16 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/13▲10.6 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/13▲6.46 shots/match

5.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲4.08 shots/match

56.9%Possessionseason · 14/1358.4%

4.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/137.46 corners/match

5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/13▲4.46 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1311.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/13▲31%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Malmö FF84.4

Djurgårdens IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Malmö FF66.6

Djurgårdens IF85.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Malmö FF31.2

Djurgårdens IF82.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Malmö FF28.1

Djurgårdens IF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Malmö FF84.4

Djurgårdens IF28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Malmö FF40.6

Djurgårdens IF96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Malmö FF60.9

Djurgårdens IF75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

2.89 xG/match▲Expected goals5/32.08 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shots5/515.2 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.2 shots/match

66.6%Possession5/560.4%

5 corners/matchCorners5/58.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals8/62.15 xG/match

15.1 shots/matchShots10/1015.6 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.8 shots/match

59.9%Possession10/1057.7%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored14/132 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1.23 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals8/62.15 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots14/13▲16 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲6.46 shots/match

56.9%Possession14/1358.4%

4.86 corners/matchCorners14/137.46 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1311.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

2.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲1.17 goals/match

3.04 xG/match▲Expected goals4/32.26 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShots7/615.2 shots/match

6.14 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲6.67 shots/match

59.7%Possession7/657.3%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.1 fouls/matchFouls7/610.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4