PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

IK Sirius 0–1 Malmö FF · Allsvenskan

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Malmö FF won 0–1.

Shots
1715
Shots on target
26
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Malmö FF beat IK Sirius 1–0. Recorded in this match (IK Sirius – Malmö FF): shots 17–15, shots on target 2–6, possession 53%–47%, corners 7–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IK Sirius's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IK Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.47 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.1%PossessionIK Sirius · Malmö FF● 56.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIK SiriusMalmö FFBaseline
Possession48.1%56.4%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots15 shotsIK Sirius 17 shots, Malmö FF 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsIK Sirius 2 shots, Malmö FF 6 shots
  • Possession53%47%IK Sirius 53%, Malmö FF 47%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersIK Sirius 7 corners, Malmö FF 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsIK Sirius 16 fouls, Malmö FF 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsIK Sirius 2 cards, Malmö FF 2 cards
  • Passes461 passes427 passesIK Sirius 461 passes, Malmö FF 427 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.9%84.3%IK Sirius 87.9%, Malmö FF 84.3%
  • Shots inside box12 shots12 shotsIK Sirius 12 shots, Malmö FF 12 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks5 blocksIK Sirius 7 blocks, Malmö FF 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesIK Sirius 5 saves, Malmö FF 2 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideIK Sirius 4 offsides, Malmö FF 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Tobias AnkerYellow card · IK Sirius
  2. 34′Diego GarcíaYellow card · Malmö FF
  3. 43′Mohamed SoumahYellow card · IK Sirius
  4. 44′Diego GarcíaGoal · Malmö FF
  5. Half-time
  6. 53′Adrian SkogmarYellow card · Malmö FF
  7. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 55′IK Sirius · 3 player changesJesper Uneken · Neo Jönsson · Zalán Vancsa
  • 63′Malmö FF · 3 player changesErik Botheim · Malte Palsson · Isaac Assibu
  • 74′Malmö FF · 1 player changeBleon Kurtulus
  • 86′Malmö FF · 1 player changeNoah Åstrand John

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3IK Sirius
1Draws
1Malmö FF
Malmö FF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan2–3
IK Sirius — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan5–1
Malmö FF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan1–1
Malmö FF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan0–1
IK Sirius — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: IK Sirius favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Malmö FF in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

IK Sirius19 matchesMalmö FF19 matches
2.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.74 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.58 goals/match
2.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/112.25 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1913.7 shots/match
5.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.74 shots/match
48.1%Possession19/19● 56.4%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners19/194.53 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIK SiriusMalmö FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headIK Sirius — Malmö FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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