Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 27 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledNordic Wellness ArenaPre-match analysis

BK Hacken

DWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

AIK Stockholm

WLWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AIK Stockholm's recent record differs from the season

weak

AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

BK Hacken favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 3 · 4 too close

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.38 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.38 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/71.12 xG/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/72.19 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1313.5 shots/match

13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1315.2 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.77 shots/match

5.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.62 shots/match

52.2%Possessionseason · 13/1352.1%

5.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136.15 corners/match

5.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲5.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

BK Hacken71.9

AIK Stockholm65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

BK Hacken71.9

AIK Stockholm45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

BK Hacken41.7

AIK Stockholm47.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

BK Hacken59.4

AIK Stockholm40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

BK Hacken25

AIK Stockholm40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

BK Hacken81.2

AIK Stockholm90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

BK Hacken61.7

AIK Stockholm54.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.33 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

56%Possession5/549.4%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.09 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.7 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.5 shots/match

54%Possession10/1051.8%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.38 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.38 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals8/71.12 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1313.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target13/134.77 shots/match

52.2%Possession13/1352.1%

5.62 corners/matchCorners13/136.15 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.57 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲1.29 goals/match

—Expected goals2/50.92 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots6/710.6 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/74 shots/match

48.8%Possession6/750%

5.33 corners/matchCorners6/75.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/712.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness9 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4