Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTCScheduledStrawberry ArenaPre-match analysis

AIK Stockholm

WLWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Orgryte IS

LDLWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

AIK Stockholm have a visible home split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AIK Stockholm's recent record differs from the season

weak

AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK Stockholm show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsAIK Stockholm · Orgryte IS10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	AIK Stockholm	Orgryte IS	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	17.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AIK Stockholm favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Orgryte IS in 1 · 5 too close

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.08 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/132.38 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/81.15 xG/match

2.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/8▲1.92 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1310.8 shots/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1317.3 shots/match

4.77 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.85 shots/match

4.62 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/136 shots/match

52.1%Possessionseason · 13/1344.1%

6.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.15 corners/match

5.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/136 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AIK Stockholm65.6

Orgryte IS9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AIK Stockholm45.8

Orgryte IS15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AIK Stockholm47.9

Orgryte IS3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AIK Stockholm40.6

Orgryte IS21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AIK Stockholm40.6

Orgryte IS46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AIK Stockholm90.6

Orgryte IS15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AIK Stockholm54.7

Orgryte IS23.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

49.4%Possession5/542.4%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.2 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.11 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

51.8%Possession10/1045.7%

6.5 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.38 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.15 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.8 shots/match

4.77 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.85 shots/match

52.1%Possession13/1344.1%

6.15 corners/matchCorners13/134.15 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/63.17 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.99 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match

54.5%Possession6/642.7%

7 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4