Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Orgryte IS

LDLWD

3–4Full-time recap

AIK Stockholm

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Orgryte IS	AIK Stockholm
Shots	8 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.39 xG/match▲	1.96 xG/match
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Orgryte IS: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG. AIK Stockholm: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Orgryte IS 0.42 xG · AIK Stockholm 1.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Orgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Orgryte IS's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

AIK Stockholm show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsOrgryte IS · AIK Stockholm13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Orgryte IS	AIK Stockholm	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	17.4 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Orgryte IS favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 8 · 4 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.57 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.5 goals/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/81.23 xG/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/82.22 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.8 shots/match

17.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲14.6 shots/match

3.79 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲5.07 shots/match

6.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.5 shots/match

43.6%Possessionseason · 14/1452.8%

4.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/146 corners/match

5.86 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲5.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Orgryte IS9.4

AIK Stockholm71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Orgryte IS13.5

AIK Stockholm57.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Orgryte IS3.1

AIK Stockholm46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Orgryte IS21.9

AIK Stockholm34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Orgryte IS43.8

AIK Stockholm43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Orgryte IS15.6

AIK Stockholm90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Orgryte IS21.1

AIK Stockholm61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.49 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

40.6%Possession5/552.2%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.33 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.6 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match

44.2%Possession10/1052.6%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.57 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.5 goals/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.23 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.8 shots/match

3.79 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲5.07 shots/match

43.6%Possession14/1452.8%

4.07 corners/matchCorners14/146 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.88 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.5 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.1 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots8/811.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.63 shots/match

44.4%Possession8/851.5%

4.13 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

18.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4