Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTCScheduledGamla UlleviPre-match analysis

Gais

LWDWL

vsPre-match analysis

Halmstad

WLLLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Halmstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Halmstad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Halmstad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.77 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Halmstad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Halmstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsGais · Halmstad11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Gais	Halmstad	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	16.7 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Gais have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.6%▲PossessionGais · Halmstad40.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Gais	Halmstad	Baseline
Possession	49.6%	40.8%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gais favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Halmstad in 0 · 3 too close

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/130.77 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/132.15 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/70.86 xG/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/72.35 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1311.8 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1316.7 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/133.15 shots/match

3.57 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/135.92 shots/match

49.6%Possessionseason · 14/1340.8%

5.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/133.46 corners/match

4.21 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/136.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1313.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/138%

79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gais53.1

Halmstad3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gais52.1

Halmstad15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gais89.6

Halmstad11.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gais71.9

Halmstad65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gais96.9

Halmstad75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gais46.9

Halmstad3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gais65.6

Halmstad30.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.16 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots5/513 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

50%Possession5/542.2%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.2 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.95 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.5 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match

48.8%Possession10/1039.4%

5.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.77 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/132.15 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.86 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots14/1311.8 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.15 shots/match

49.6%Possession14/1340.8%

5.14 corners/matchCorners14/133.46 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1313.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.67 goals/match

0.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/62.5 goals/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.95 xG/match

16.6 shots/match▲Shots7/612 shots/match

5.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.67 shots/match

45.7%Possession7/635.5%

5.57 corners/matchCorners7/63.83 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4