PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Stora Valla

Degerfors IF 0–1 IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

IF Elfsborg won 0–1.

Shots
116
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.030.48
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

IF Elfsborg beat Degerfors IF 1–0. Recorded in this match (Degerfors IF – IF Elfsborg): shots 11–6, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.03–0.48, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

IF Elfsborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

IF Elfsborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsDegerfors IF · IF Elfsborg9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFIF ElfsborgBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match9.67 shots/match10.8 shots/match
Shots against6.33 shots/match10.7 shots/match9.67 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Degerfors IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

53% ●PossessionDegerfors IF · IF Elfsborg41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFIF ElfsborgBaseline
Possession53%41%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots6 shotsDegerfors IF 11 shots, IF Elfsborg 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDegerfors IF 2 shots, IF Elfsborg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.48 xGDegerfors IF 1.03 xG, IF Elfsborg 0.48 xG
  • Possession66%34%Degerfors IF 66%, IF Elfsborg 34%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerDegerfors IF 7 corners, IF Elfsborg 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsDegerfors IF 15 fouls, IF Elfsborg 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsDegerfors IF 5 cards, IF Elfsborg 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Degerfors IF
2Draws
2IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–2
Degerfors IF — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan0–1
IF Elfsborg — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–2
Degerfors IF — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan1–2
IF Elfsborg — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · IF Elfsborg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF3 matchesIF Elfsborg3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.25 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/39.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 3.67 shots/match
53% ●Possession3/341%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners3/33.33 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFIF Elfsborg
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDegerfors IF — IF Elfsborg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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