Allsvenskan · 2026Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStora VallaFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDegerfors IFIF Elfsborg
Shots11 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.03 xG/match0.48 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IF Elfsborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Degerfors IF have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

IF Elfsborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

IF Elfsborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/matchShotsDegerfors IF · IF Elfsborg9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFIF ElfsborgBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match9.67 shots/match10.8 shots/match
Shots against6.33 shots/match10.7 shots/match9.67 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Degerfors IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

53%PossessionDegerfors IF · IF Elfsborg41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFIF ElfsborgBaseline
Possession53%41%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Degerfors IF favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · IF Elfsborg in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.25 xG/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.67 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39.67 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/310.7 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32 shots/match
53%Possessionseason · 3/341%
6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.33 corners/match
1.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Degerfors IF62.5
IF Elfsborg12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Degerfors IF12.5
IF Elfsborg54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Degerfors IF54.2
IF Elfsborg66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Degerfors IF12.5
IF Elfsborg37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Degerfors IF87.5
IF Elfsborg62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Degerfors IF62.5
IF Elfsborg12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Degerfors IF43.8
IF Elfsborg40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.25 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/39.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
53%Possession3/341%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.25 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/39.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
53%Possession3/341%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.25 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/39.67 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
53%Possession3/341%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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