PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo vs Remo · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Remo

LLLDD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171.07
Expected goals
1.270.91
Shots
1412.6
Possession
53.9%43.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: remo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: sao Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

remo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

remo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sao Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.9% ●PossessionSao Paulo · remo43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSao PauloremoBaseline
Possession53.9%43.6%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Remo in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo29 matchesRemo28 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/281.07 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.64 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/240.91 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots29/2812.6 shots/match
4.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/283.79 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession29/2843.6%
7.03 corners/match ●Corners29/284.93 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/63.33 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2811.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
0Draws
1Remo
Remo — São Paulo · Serie A1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness50 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloRemo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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