PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Mirassol vs Internacional · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.121.16
Expected goals
1.041.42
Shots
1414.7
Possession
50.8%48.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: mirassol's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

weak

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mirassol have a visible home split

moderate

Mirassol's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match14 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Internacional in 8 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol25 matchesInternacional25 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.16 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.42 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots25/2514.7 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target25/254.4 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession25/2548.5%
5.52 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.32 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2516 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Mirassol
1Draws
0Internacional
Internacional — Mirassol · Serie A1–2
Mirassol — Internacional · Serie A3–1
Internacional — Mirassol · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolInternacional
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headMirassol — Internacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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