PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Flamengo 2–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.940.76
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Red Bull Bragantino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 11–15, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.94–0.76, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Flamengo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.2 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsFlamengo 11 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsFlamengo 6 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.94 xG0.76 xGFlamengo 2.94 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.76 xG
  • Possession66%34%Flamengo 66%, Red Bull Bragantino 34%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersFlamengo 2 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsFlamengo 9 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsFlamengo 3 cards, Red Bull Bragantino 3 cards
  • Passes616 passes305 passesFlamengo 616 passes, Red Bull Bragantino 305 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.3%76.4%Flamengo 87.3%, Red Bull Bragantino 76.4%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsFlamengo 9 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksFlamengo 1 block, Red Bull Bragantino 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesFlamengo 5 saves, Red Bull Bragantino 4 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides0 offsidesFlamengo 5 offsides, Red Bull Bragantino 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Flamengo
1Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Flamengo · Serie A3–0
Flamengo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A3–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Flamengo · Serie A1–2
Flamengo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Flamengo · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo26 matchesRed Bull Bragantino26 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.27 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.19 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/221.38 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots26/2615.9 shots/match
5.31 shots/matchShots on target26/265.12 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession26/2649.2%
5.35 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.58 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/54.8 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFlamengo — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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