PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Flamengo 2–1 Corinthians · Serie A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–1.

Shots
323
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
2.620.3
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Corinthians 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Corinthians): shots 32–3, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 2.62–0.3, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo have a visible home split

moderate

Flamengo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots32 shots3 shotsFlamengo 32 shots, Corinthians 3 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotFlamengo 10 shots, Corinthians 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.62 xG0.3 xGFlamengo 2.62 xG, Corinthians 0.3 xG
  • Possession64%36%Flamengo 64%, Corinthians 36%
  • Corners20 corners0 cornersFlamengo 20 corners, Corinthians 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsFlamengo 14 fouls, Corinthians 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsFlamengo 4 cards, Corinthians 3 cards
  • Passes670 passes388 passesFlamengo 670 passes, Corinthians 388 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.3%83.3%Flamengo 90.3%, Corinthians 83.3%
  • Shots inside box21 shots1 shotFlamengo 21 shots, Corinthians 1 shot
  • Blocked shots12 blocks1 blockFlamengo 12 blocks, Corinthians 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves7 savesFlamengo 0 saves, Corinthians 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesFlamengo 1 offside, Corinthians 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Flamengo
1Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Corinthians — Flamengo · Serie A1–2
Flamengo — Corinthians · Serie A4–0
Corinthians — Flamengo · Serie A2–1
Flamengo — Corinthians · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo25 matchesCorinthians25 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.08 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.12 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/210.93 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.4 shots/match
5.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.6 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession25/2554.6%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners25/254.8 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoCorinthians
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFlamengo — Corinthians
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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