PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Corinthians 1–2 Chapecoense · Serie A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense won 1–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.120.95
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense beat Corinthians 2–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Chapecoense): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.12–0.95, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Corinthians have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionCorinthians · Chapecoense42.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCorinthiansChapecoenseBaseline
Possession55.4%42.2%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsCorinthians 16 shots, Chapecoense 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCorinthians 6 shots, Chapecoense 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.12 xG0.95 xGCorinthians 2.12 xG, Chapecoense 0.95 xG
  • Possession62%38%Corinthians 62%, Chapecoense 38%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersCorinthians 5 corners, Chapecoense 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls21 foulsCorinthians 9 fouls, Chapecoense 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsCorinthians 0 cards, Chapecoense 4 cards
  • Passes678 passes427 passesCorinthians 678 passes, Chapecoense 427 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.4%82.7%Corinthians 90.4%, Chapecoense 82.7%
  • Shots inside box13 shots5 shotsCorinthians 13 shots, Chapecoense 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockCorinthians 1 block, Chapecoense 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesCorinthians 3 saves, Chapecoense 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideCorinthians 2 offsides, Chapecoense 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Corinthians
1Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Corinthians · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 0 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians24 matchesChapecoense24 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.04 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/242 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals20/210.97 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots24/2413.2 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target24/243.58 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession24/2442.2%
5 corners/match ●Corners24/244.04 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansChapecoense
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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