Vitória vs Grêmio — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTCBarradao

Vitória

DLWLL

vsPre-match analysis

Grêmio

LWLLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.041.13
Expected goals: 0.820.81
Shots: 11.411.2
Possession: 44.5%49.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vitoria's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: gremio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Vitoria's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitoria's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.04 goals/match	1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gremio have a visible away split

moderate

Gremio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.75 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Grêmio in 2 · 7 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória23 matchesGrêmio23 matches

1.04 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.13 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.35 goals/match

0.82 xG/matchExpected goals20/190.81 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots23/2311.2 shots/match

3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.48 shots/match

44.5%Possession23/23● 49.6%

4.09 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.22 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória

2Draws

3Grêmio

19 Mar 2026Grêmio — Vitória · Serie A2–0

28 Sept 2025Grêmio — Vitória · Serie A3–1

27 Apr 2025Vitória — Grêmio · Serie A1–1

4 Dec 2024Vitória — Grêmio · Serie A1–1

21 Jul 2024Grêmio — Vitória · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows