Red Bull Bragantino
Serie A · 2026Red Bull Bragantino vs Bahia · Serie A
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.29–1.63
- Expected goals
- 1.43–1.71
- Shots
- 16–14.9
- Possession
- 50.3%–54.8%
30-second read
What the record shows
The story here is recent context rather than season averages: bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for RB Bragantino, Bahia. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.
Bahia's recent record differs from the season
moderateBahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.2 goals/match | 1.63 goals/match | 1.27 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for RB Bragantino, Bahia.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | RB Bragantino | Bahia | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 1.04 days | 1.04 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | RB Bragantino | Bahia | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.71 corners/match | 5.83 corners/match | 5.09 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Bahia in 5 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 1.04 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Red Bull Bragantino / Bahia
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.