PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Botafogo 0–0 Palmeiras · Serie A

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo and Palmeiras drew 0–0.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.11.11
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo and Palmeiras drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Palmeiras): shots 14–17, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.1–1.11, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsBotafogo 14 shots, Palmeiras 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBotafogo 4 shots, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.11 xGBotafogo 1.1 xG, Palmeiras 1.11 xG
  • Possession33%67%Botafogo 33%, Palmeiras 67%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersBotafogo 5 corners, Palmeiras 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsBotafogo 15 fouls, Palmeiras 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsBotafogo 3 cards, Palmeiras 3 cards
  • Passes295 passes610 passesBotafogo 295 passes, Palmeiras 610 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.2%86.1%Botafogo 74.2%, Palmeiras 86.1%
  • Shots inside box6 shots11 shotsBotafogo 6 shots, Palmeiras 11 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksBotafogo 5 blocks, Palmeiras 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesBotafogo 5 saves, Palmeiras 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesBotafogo 0 offsides, Palmeiras 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Botafogo
1Draws
2Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Botafogo · Serie A2–1
Botafogo — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1
Palmeiras — Botafogo · Serie A0–0
Palmeiras — Botafogo · Serie A1–3
Botafogo — Palmeiras · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo24 matchesPalmeiras24 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/200.97 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots24/2413.8 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.54 shots/match
46.9%Possession24/24● 50.6%
4.54 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.83 corners/match
3.17 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headBotafogo — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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