PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Remo · Serie A

Bahia

DDWWW
vsPre-match analysis

Remo

DDLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.631.13
Expected goals
1.710.91
Shots
14.912.2
Possession
54.8%43.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: bahia have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.8% ●PossessionBahia · remo43.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBahiaremoBaseline
Possession54.8%43.1%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Remo in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia24 matchesRemo24 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.13 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.71 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/200.91 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.2 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.63 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession24/2443.1%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners24/244.67 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/53.2 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls24/2411.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
0Draws
1Remo
Remo — Bahia · Serie A4–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaRemo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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