PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Bahia 2–1 Remo · Serie A

Bahia

DDWWW
2–1Full-time analysis

Remo

DDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 2–1.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.21.35
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Remo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Remo): shots 17–14, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.2–1.35, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.1% ●PossessionBahia · Remo42.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBahiaRemoBaseline
Possession55.1%42.9%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsBahia 17 shots, Remo 14 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsBahia 9 shots, Remo 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG1.35 xGBahia 2.2 xG, Remo 1.35 xG
  • Possession63%37%Bahia 63%, Remo 37%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersBahia 7 corners, Remo 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsBahia 18 fouls, Remo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBahia 2 cards, Remo 1 card
  • Passes535 passes311 passesBahia 535 passes, Remo 311 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.1%83.9%Bahia 90.1%, Remo 83.9%
  • Shots inside box15 shots6 shotsBahia 15 shots, Remo 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksBahia 2 blocks, Remo 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesBahia 2 saves, Remo 7 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesBahia 2 offsides, Remo 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
0Draws
1Remo
Remo — Bahia · Serie A4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Remo in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia25 matchesRemo25 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.12 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.72 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/210.93 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.2 shots/match
5.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.6 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession25/2542.9%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners25/254.72 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/53.2 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaRemo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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