Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC

Grêmio

LLWLL

vsPre-match analysis

Vasco da Gama

LLWLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.081.12
Expected goals: 0.791.37
Shots: 11.317.2
Possession: 49.8%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gremio, Vasco DA Gama. Alongside it: gremio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gremio, Vasco DA Gama.

1.04 days ▲Rest daysGremio · Vasco DA Gama1.04 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Gremio	Vasco DA Gama	Baseline
Rest days	1.04 days	1.04 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Gremio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gremio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gremio have a visible home split

moderate

Gremio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 8 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio25 matchesVasco da Gama25 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.12 goals/match

1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.6 goals/match

0.79 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.37 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 17.2 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.2 shots/match

49.8%Possession25/25● 53.2%

4.04 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.32 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Grêmio

1Draws

2Vasco da Gama

12 Sept 2026Grêmio — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–2

22 Mar 2026Vasco da Gama — Grêmio · Serie A2–1

20 Nov 2025Grêmio — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–0

19 Jul 2025Vasco da Gama — Grêmio · Serie A1–1

28 Jul 2024Grêmio — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness1 dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season