PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Corinthians 1–3 Fluminense · Serie A

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 1–3.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
2.442.38
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Corinthians 3–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Fluminense): shots 20–10, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 2.44–2.38, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsCorinthians 20 shots, Fluminense 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCorinthians 7 shots, Fluminense 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.44 xG2.38 xGCorinthians 2.44 xG, Fluminense 2.38 xG
  • Possession57%43%Corinthians 57%, Fluminense 43%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerCorinthians 11 corners, Fluminense 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls21 foulsCorinthians 16 fouls, Fluminense 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsCorinthians 3 cards, Fluminense 5 cards
  • Passes513 passes417 passesCorinthians 513 passes, Fluminense 417 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.3%83.7%Corinthians 88.3%, Fluminense 83.7%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsCorinthians 11 shots, Fluminense 8 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksCorinthians 7 blocks, Fluminense 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesCorinthians 3 saves, Fluminense 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideCorinthians 1 offside, Fluminense 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Corinthians
1Draws
2Fluminense
Fluminense — Corinthians · Serie A3–1
Fluminense — Corinthians · Serie A0–1
Corinthians — Fluminense · Serie A0–2
Fluminense — Corinthians · Serie A0–0
Corinthians — Fluminense · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Fluminense in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians26 matchesFluminense26 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.35 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.3 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.58 shots/match
54.7%Possession26/26● 58.5%
5.04 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.58 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/53.4 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansFluminense
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCorinthians — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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