PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos 0–3 Coritiba · Serie A

Santos

WLDDW
0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 0–3.

Shots
139
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.972.13
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Santos 3–0. Recorded in this match (Santos – Coritiba): shots 13–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.97–2.13, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

weak

Coritiba's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Santos have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5% ●PossessionSantos · Coritiba38.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSantosCoritibaBaseline
Possession48.5%38.4%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsSantos 13 shots, Coritiba 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsSantos 3 shots, Coritiba 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG2.13 xGSantos 1.97 xG, Coritiba 2.13 xG
  • Possession63%37%Santos 63%, Coritiba 37%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersSantos 3 corners, Coritiba 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsSantos 13 fouls, Coritiba 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Santos
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Santos · Serie B0–2
Santos — Coritiba · Serie B4–0
Santos — Coritiba · Serie A2–1
Coritiba — Santos · Serie A0–0
Coritiba — Santos · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Coritiba in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos16 matchesCoritiba16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.31 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.9 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots16/1610 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target16/163.13 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession16/1638.4%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners16/163.19 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosCoritiba
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSantos — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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