PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos 2–0 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

Santos

LWLDD
2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santos won 2–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.260.68
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat RB Bragantino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Santos – RB Bragantino): shots 9–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.26–0.68, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

weak

RB Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsSantos 9 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSantos 3 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG0.68 xGSantos 1.26 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.68 xG
  • Possession53%47%Santos 53%, Red Bull Bragantino 47%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersSantos 7 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsSantos 13 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santos
1Draws
3Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A2–2
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–2
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–3
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A2–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos15 matchesRed Bull Bragantino15 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.19 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.87 shots/match
47.5%Possession15/15● 51.2%
5.4 corners/matchCorners15/155.4 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/45.25 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSantos — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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