PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Internacional 4–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

4–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 4–1.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.110.41
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Vasco DA Gama 4–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Vasco DA Gama): shots 12–14, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.11–0.41, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsInternacional 12 shots, Vasco da Gama 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsInternacional 7 shots, Vasco da Gama 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.41 xGInternacional 1.11 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.41 xG
  • Possession40%60%Internacional 40%, Vasco da Gama 60%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersInternacional 3 corners, Vasco da Gama 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsInternacional 17 fouls, Vasco da Gama 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Internacional
1Draws
2Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Internacional · Serie A5–1
Internacional — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1
Vasco da Gama — Internacional · Serie A0–1
Internacional — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–2
Vasco da Gama — Internacional · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional16 matchesVasco da Gama16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.56 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.34 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 17.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target16/165.31 shots/match
50.6%Possession16/16● 53.9%
7.63 corners/match ●Corners16/165.44 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInternacional — Vasco da Gama
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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