PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Evandro Almeida

Remo 0–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A

Remo

WLDDL
0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 0–1.

Shots
146
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.760.25
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat remo 1–0. Recorded in this match (remo – Cruzeiro): shots 14–6, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.76–0.25, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

remo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

remo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%Possessionremo · Cruzeiro● 54.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricremoCruzeiroBaseline
Possession43%54.4%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsRemo 14 shots, Cruzeiro 6 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsRemo 1 shot, Cruzeiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG0.25 xGRemo 0.76 xG, Cruzeiro 0.25 xG
  • Possession47%53%Remo 47%, Cruzeiro 53%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerRemo 4 corners, Cruzeiro 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls22 foulsRemo 15 fouls, Cruzeiro 22 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Remo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Remo13 matchesCruzeiro13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.62 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.3 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.77 shots/match
43%Possession13/13● 54.4%
4 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.92 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRemoCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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