PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Botafogo 1–2 Remo · Serie A

1–2Full-time analysis

Remo

LDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Remo won 1–2.

Shots
1618
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.371.94
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Remo beat Botafogo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Remo): shots 16–18, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.37–1.94, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots18 shotsBotafogo 16 shots, Remo 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsBotafogo 5 shots, Remo 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.94 xGBotafogo 1.37 xG, Remo 1.94 xG
  • Possession58%42%Botafogo 58%, Remo 42%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersBotafogo 9 corners, Remo 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsBotafogo 14 fouls, Remo 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Remo in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo13 matchesRemo14 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/141.07 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.96 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/144.21 shots/match
48.6% ●Possession13/1442.9%
3.77 corners/matchCorners13/14● 4.14 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/43.25 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls13/1413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoRemo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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