PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Governador Magalhães Pinto

Cruzeiro 1–1 Corinthians · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro and Corinthians drew 1–1.

Shots
114
Shots on target
32
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro and Corinthians drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Corinthians): shots 11–4, shots on target 3–2, possession 48%–52%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsCruzeiro · Corinthians9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroCorinthiansBaseline
Shots14 shots/match9.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots4 shotsCruzeiro 11 shots, Corinthians 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 3 shots, Corinthians 2 shots
  • Possession48%52%Cruzeiro 48%, Corinthians 52%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersCruzeiro 5 corners, Corinthians 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsCruzeiro 15 fouls, Corinthians 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsCruzeiro 3 cards, Corinthians 3 cards
  • Passes356 passes385 passesCruzeiro 356 passes, Corinthians 385 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%82%Cruzeiro 82%, Corinthians 82%
  • Shots inside box5 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 5 shots, Corinthians 2 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksCruzeiro 4 blocks, Corinthians 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesCruzeiro 1 save, Corinthians 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesCruzeiro 1 offside, Corinthians 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cruzeiro
1Draws
2Corinthians
Corinthians — Cruzeiro · Copa do Brasil1–2
Cruzeiro — Corinthians · Copa do Brasil0–1
Cruzeiro — Corinthians · Serie A3–0
Corinthians — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–0
Corinthians — Cruzeiro · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro4 matchesCorinthians4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots4/49.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.25 shots/match
53.5%Possession4/4● 54%
6 corners/match ●Corners4/42.5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/413.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Feb 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroCorinthians
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Corinthians
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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