PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol 2–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Mirassol and Cruzeiro drew 2–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
104
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol and Cruzeiro drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Cruzeiro): shots 18–9, shots on target 10–4, possession 56%–44%, corners 9–0. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersMirassol · Cruzeiro● 6.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMirassolCruzeiroBaseline
Corners6 corners/match6.33 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsMirassol 18 shots, Cruzeiro 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsMirassol 10 shots, Cruzeiro 4 shots
  • Possession56%44%Mirassol 56%, Cruzeiro 44%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersMirassol 9 corners, Cruzeiro 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsMirassol 12 fouls, Cruzeiro 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsMirassol 4 cards, Cruzeiro 2 cards
  • Passes394 passes324 passesMirassol 394 passes, Cruzeiro 324 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%79%Mirassol 87%, Cruzeiro 79%
  • Shots inside box14 shots6 shotsMirassol 14 shots, Cruzeiro 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksMirassol 5 blocks, Cruzeiro 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves9 savesMirassol 2 saves, Cruzeiro 9 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesMirassol 2 offsides, Cruzeiro 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Mirassol
1Draws
1Cruzeiro
Mirassol — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1
Cruzeiro — Mirassol · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol3 matchesCruzeiro3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 15 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession3/355.3%
6 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.33 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Feb 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsMirassolCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headMirassol — Cruzeiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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