PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Arena da Baixada

Athletico 0–1 Corinthians · Serie A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 0–1.

Shots
194
Shots on target
51
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Atletico Paranaense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico Paranaense – Corinthians): shots 19–4, shots on target 5–1, possession 56%–44%, corners 8–0. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico Paranaense · Corinthians11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico ParanaenseCorinthiansBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsAthletico 19 shots, Corinthians 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotAthletico 5 shots, Corinthians 1 shot
  • Possession56%44%Athletico 56%, Corinthians 44%
  • Corners8 corners0 cornersAthletico 8 corners, Corinthians 0 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsAthletico 15 fouls, Corinthians 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsAthletico 3 cards, Corinthians 4 cards
  • Passes438 passes355 passesAthletico 438 passes, Corinthians 355 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%75%Athletico 84%, Corinthians 75%
  • Shots inside box10 shots0 shotsAthletico 10 shots, Corinthians 0 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksAthletico 2 blocks, Corinthians 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves4 savesAthletico 0 saves, Corinthians 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideAthletico 3 offsides, Corinthians 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletico
1Draws
4Corinthians
Corinthians — Athletico · Copa do Brasil2–0
Athletico — Corinthians · Copa do Brasil0–1
Corinthians — Athletico · Serie A5–2
Athletico — Corinthians · Serie A1–1
Corinthians — Athletico · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico3 matchesCorinthians3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
47.3%Possession3/3● 54.7%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/32.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/33.67 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Feb 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoCorinthians
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headAthletico — Corinthians
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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