Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPayPal ParkPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Jose Earthquakes, Los Angeles Galaxy. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Jose Earthquakes, Los Angeles Galaxy.

3 daysRest daysSan Jose Earthquakes · Los Angeles Galaxy3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxyBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Los Angeles Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Los Angeles Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Jose Earthquakes favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles Galaxy in 2 · 6 too close

2.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/171.35 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/171.65 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/141.51 xG/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/141.38 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1713.1 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1711.9 shots/match
5.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/175.35 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/174.71 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 16/1750.2%
7.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/175.35 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/173.35 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/179.82 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1712%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1794%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Jose Earthquakes25
Los Angeles Galaxy55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Jose Earthquakes83.3
Los Angeles Galaxy52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Jose Earthquakes66.7
Los Angeles Galaxy50.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Jose Earthquakes78.3
Los Angeles Galaxy51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes31.7
Los Angeles Galaxy35.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes98.3
Los Angeles Galaxy75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Jose Earthquakes77.9
Los Angeles Galaxy55.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.45 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/552.6%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.72 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.46 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match
5.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
46.7%Possession10/1048.3%
6.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches
2.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/171.35 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/171.65 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals13/141.51 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots16/1713.1 shots/match
5.69 shots/matchShots on target16/175.35 shots/match
46.8%Possession16/1750.2%
7.13 corners/matchCorners16/175.35 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls16/179.82 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
2.43 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.29 xG/match
18.5 shots/matchShots8/812.6 shots/match
7.63 shots/matchShots on target8/85.13 shots/match
49.6%Possession8/849.6%
9.5 corners/matchCorners8/84.75 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/2
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/88.38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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