Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeDignity Health Sports ParkFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLos Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match9 shots/match
Expected goals0.98 xG/match2.04 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match16 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.35 corners/matchCornersLos Angeles Galaxy · St. Louis City5.88 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles GalaxySt. Louis CityBaseline
Corners5.35 corners/match5.88 corners/match4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles Galaxy favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · St. Louis City in 6 · 5 too close

1.35 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/161.38 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/161.44 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/131.62 xG/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/131.18 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1614.1 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1611.4 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/164.63 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/164.19 shots/match
50.2%Possessionseason · 17/1649.8%
5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/165.88 corners/match
3.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/164.5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/53.2 cards/match
9.82 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1613.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1613%
94%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles Galaxy55
St. Louis City48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles Galaxy52.8
St. Louis City52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles Galaxy50.5
St. Louis City76.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles Galaxy51.7
St. Louis City75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy35.9
St. Louis City83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy75
St. Louis City86.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles Galaxy55.9
St. Louis City71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.65 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/515 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
52.6%Possession5/549.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/1
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.75 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/1014.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
48.3%Possession10/1050.4%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
Cards0/2
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.38 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.44 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.62 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots17/1614.1 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on target17/164.63 shots/match
50.2%Possession17/1649.8%
5.35 corners/matchCorners17/165.88 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/53.2 cards/match
9.82 fouls/matchFouls17/1613.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.89 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.57 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots9/912.8 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target9/93.67 shots/match
50.8%Possession9/948.9%
5.89 corners/matchCorners9/96 corners/match
Cards2/34.33 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls9/912.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.99 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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