Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColorado RapidsSan Diego
Shots9 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.41 xG/match1.17 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match10.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego in 6 · 4 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.75 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.43 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.9 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.2 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1613.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.44 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/165.44 shots/match
55.4%Possessionseason · 16/1660.8%
4.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/163.94 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/82.88 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids85
San Diego98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids26.7
San Diego41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids64.5
San Diego28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids5
San Diego1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids95
San Diego50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 72%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids51.7
San Diego40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids43
San Diego29.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.61 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/555.4%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards2/1
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.48 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
56.7%Possession10/1058.8%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/33.67 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.43 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots16/1611.2 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/164.44 shots/match
55.4%Possession16/1660.8%
4.81 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCards7/82.88 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.3 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/79 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/73.29 shots/match
56%Possession7/759.4%
5.71 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/33.33 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

60 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/160 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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