Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCFull timeGeodis ParkFull-time recap

Nashville SC

DDWWW

1–0Full-time recap

Atlanta United FC

WWLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nashville SC	Atlanta United FC
Shots	8 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.61 xG/match	1.77 xG/match▲
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	4 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlanta United FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlanta United FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsNashville SC · Atlanta United FC13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nashville SC	Atlanta United FC	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	10.4 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Nashville SC

0Draws

0Atlanta United FC

18 Apr 2026Atlanta United FC — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Atlanta United FC in 2 · 4 too close

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/150.93 goals/match

0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.6 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.33 xG/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.31 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲13.1 shots/match

10.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1510.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/154.07 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.07 shots/match

54.1%Possessionseason · 15/1552.9%

4.53 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155 corners/match

4.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/154.73 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.5 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1511.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

47%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/157%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1553%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC78.3

Atlanta United FC68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC60.6

Atlanta United FC22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC92.8

Atlanta United FC70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC21.7

Atlanta United FC38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC34.1

Atlanta United FC45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC31.7

Atlanta United FC55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC42.9

Atlanta United FC39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.35 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲16 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

53.6%Possession5/551.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

0.93 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.3 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.6 shots/match

5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.5 shots/match

54.5%Possession10/1051.9%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match

0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.33 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots15/15▲13.1 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154.07 shots/match

54.1%Possession15/1552.9%

4.53 corners/matchCorners15/155 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored8/70.43 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.43 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals6/51.31 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots8/712.7 shots/match

6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/73.43 shots/match

56.8%Possession8/750.4%

5 corners/matchCorners8/75.57 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/2—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

55 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/154.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples15 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

Atlanta United FC's recent record differs from the season

Nashville SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match