Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 00:15 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap

Charlotte

LDLWW

2–2Full-time recap

Atlanta United FC

WLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Charlotte	Atlanta United FC
Shots	24 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	3.07 xG/match▲	1.6 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	3 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Charlotte's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Charlotte's recent record differs from the season

weak

Charlotte's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlotte have a visible home split

moderate

Charlotte's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Atlanta United FC in 3 · 4 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.63 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.35 xG/match

1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.45 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲13 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲11.6 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.19 shots/match

5.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.38 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 16/1652.7%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.88 corners/match

4.25 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/164.81 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/42.5 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/166%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1656%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte31.7

Atlanta United FC65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte48.4

Atlanta United FC25.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte34.4

Atlanta United FC62.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte28.3

Atlanta United FC38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte25.9

Atlanta United FC45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte48.3

Atlanta United FC55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte36.7

Atlanta United FC42.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.44 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match

46%Possession5/550.2%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.6 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.33 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.1 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match

45%Possession10/1051%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.63 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.35 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots16/16▲13 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.19 shots/match

47.3%Possession16/1652.7%

4.75 corners/matchCorners16/164.88 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/42.5 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 8 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/80.63 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/81.5 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals9/61.36 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/812.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/83.75 shots/match

49.6%Possession10/850.3%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/85.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/2—

8.9 fouls/matchFouls10/812.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

60 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.01 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 04:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Charlotte's recent record differs from the season

Charlotte have a visible home split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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