PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew York City FCSt. Louis City
Shots16 shots/match▲14 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.18 xG/match▲1.06 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · St. Louis City in 3 · 5 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.19 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.02 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲13.7 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲10.8 shots/match
5.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/65 shots/match
4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.5 shots/match
55.8%Possessionseason · 6/648.8%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65.67 corners/match
3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.17 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC85
St. Louis City45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC78.3
St. Louis City43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC66.7
St. Louis City65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC31.7
St. Louis City71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC44.1
St. Louis City20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC18.3
St. Louis City70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC57.5
St. Louis City55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.19 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/548.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
13 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.19 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲13.7 shots/match
5.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
55.8%Possession6/648.8%
4 corners/matchCorners6/65.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.19 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲13.7 shots/match
5.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
55.8%Possession6/648.8%
4 corners/matchCorners6/65.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/30.33 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/31.67 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—
13.3 shots/match▲Shots4/312.3 shots/match
6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/32.67 shots/match
54.5%Possession4/343.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/34.67 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNew York City FCSt. Louis City
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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New York City FC vs St. Louis City — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath