Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeBMO FieldFull-time recap

Toronto FC

LLWDW

3–2Full-time recap

Colorado Rapids

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Toronto FC	Colorado Rapids
Shots	17 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.71 xG/match▲	0.47 xG/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	7 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

weak

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.5 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

weak

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	2.17 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Colorado Rapids have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%▲PossessionToronto FC · Colorado Rapids53.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Toronto FC	Colorado Rapids	Baseline
Possession	44.7%	53.2%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Toronto FC favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 3 · 9 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2.17 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.67 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.91 xG/match

0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.4 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲12.2 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/613.3 shots/match

5.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲5.67 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/65.17 shots/match

44.7%Possessionseason · 6/653.2%

6.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65 corners/match

6.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/66 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/43.25 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/615.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Toronto FC25

Colorado Rapids65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Toronto FC51.6

Colorado Rapids72.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Toronto FC53.9

Colorado Rapids36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Toronto FC58.3

Colorado Rapids35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC44.1

Colorado Rapids95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC78.3

Colorado Rapids50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Toronto FC55

Colorado Rapids70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.91 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match

42.6%Possession5/552.4%

6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards2/33 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.67 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.91 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲12.2 shots/match

5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match

44.7%Possession6/653.2%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/43.25 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls6/615.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.67 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.91 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲12.2 shots/match

5.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match

44.7%Possession6/653.2%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/65 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/43.25 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls6/615.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.75 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.25 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.91 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/49.5 shots/match

6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/44.5 shots/match

43.3%Possession3/453%

7.33 corners/matchCorners3/44 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/418.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.7 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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