PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Rostov Arena

FC Rostov 0–1 Orenburg · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg won 0–1.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
42
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Orenburg beat FC Rostov 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – FC Orenburg): shots 14–13, shots on target 4–2, possession 52%–48%, corners 7–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Rostov, FC Orenburg.

3.78 days ▲Rest daysFC Rostov · FC Orenburg2.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC RostovFC OrenburgBaseline
Rest days3.78 days2.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsFC Rostov 14 shots, Orenburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Orenburg 2 shots
  • Possession52%48%FC Rostov 52%, Orenburg 48%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersFC Rostov 7 corners, Orenburg 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsFC Rostov 14 fouls, Orenburg 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsFC Rostov 0 cards, Orenburg 3 cards
  • Passes348 passes328 passesFC Rostov 348 passes, Orenburg 328 passes
  • Pass accuracy60%60%FC Rostov 60%, Orenburg 60%
  • Shots inside box6 shots7 shotsFC Rostov 6 shots, Orenburg 7 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks5 blocksFC Rostov 6 blocks, Orenburg 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesFC Rostov 1 save, Orenburg 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesFC Rostov 2 offsides, Orenburg 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Rostov
1Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — FC Rostov · Premier League0–1
Orenburg — FC Rostov · Premier League1–2
FC Rostov — Orenburg · Premier League3–2
FC Rostov — Orenburg · Premier League2–1
Orenburg — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov27 matchesOrenburg27 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1 goal/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.41 goals/match
11.7 shots/matchShots27/2712.1 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 3.89 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession27/2747.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.3 corners/match
2.81 cards/matchCards21/202.4 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls27/2715 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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