PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Gazovik Stadium

Orenburg 2–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg won 2–1.

Shots
185
Shots on target
61
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Orenburg beat Nizhny Novgorod 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Orenburg – Nizhny Novgorod): shots 18–5, shots on target 6–1, possession 55%–45%, corners 10–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nizhny Novgorod.

4.23 days ▲Rest daysFC Orenburg · Nizhny Novgorod3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC OrenburgNizhny NovgorodBaseline
Rest days4.23 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsOrenburg 18 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotOrenburg 6 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 1 shot
  • Possession55%45%Orenburg 55%, Nizhny Novgorod 45%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersOrenburg 10 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsOrenburg 11 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsOrenburg 2 cards, Nizhny Novgorod 3 cards
  • Passes319 passes264 passesOrenburg 319 passes, Nizhny Novgorod 264 passes
  • Pass accuracy70%65%Orenburg 70%, Nizhny Novgorod 65%
  • Shots inside box15 shots2 shotsOrenburg 15 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 2 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksOrenburg 2 blocks, Nizhny Novgorod 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves4 savesOrenburg 0 saves, Nizhny Novgorod 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesOrenburg 0 offsides, Nizhny Novgorod 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Orenburg
0Draws
3Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Orenburg · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Orenburg · Premier League1–2
Orenburg — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–2
Orenburg — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Orenburg · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg26 matchesNizhny Novgorod26 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored26/260.85 goals/match
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.62 goals/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.1 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target26/263.88 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession26/2643.2%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners26/264.42 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards20/212.86 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2616.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headOrenburg — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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